Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.374437 0.435591 0.503165 0.583314 0.675734 0.778911 0.902790
2025-03-30 0.264429 0.343827 0.441213 0.569191 0.732700 0.934359 1.201730
2025-04-06 0.202761 0.285698 0.395353 0.550420 0.763511 1.045472 1.446296
2025-04-13 0.162310 0.244353 0.359720 0.532950 0.785547 1.139378 1.671469
2025-04-20 0.139167 0.221850 0.344464 0.538313 0.835693 1.272984 1.962774
2025-04-27 0.126800 0.212656 0.346102 0.566887 0.921037 1.464431 2.358129
2025-05-04 0.114275 0.200840 0.341337 0.583700 0.988667 1.634627 2.738174
2025-05-11 0.101884 0.187104 0.331134 0.589469 1.037851 1.779301 3.091376
2025-05-18 0.090118 0.172525 0.317237 0.586514 1.070897 1.899412 3.414681
2025-05-25 0.079457 0.158276 0.301826 0.578438 1.093167 2.002173 3.717173
2025-06-01 0.070910 0.146688 0.289561 0.574136 1.120922 2.116085 4.049424
2025-06-08 0.061798 0.132651 0.270835 0.555100 1.118574 2.174545 4.285046
2025-06-15 0.059880 0.133069 0.280400 0.592767 1.230199 2.457722 4.976607
2025-06-22 0.052608 0.121275 0.264207 0.577039 1.235230 2.539455 5.290665
2025-06-29 0.046031 0.109982 0.247505 0.557952 1.230780 2.601382 5.570816
2025-07-06 0.040457 0.100085 0.232425 0.540248 1.226763 2.663009 5.855599
2025-07-13 0.037341 0.095422 0.228177 0.545682 1.272851 2.832157 6.381589
2025-07-20 0.036175 0.095264 0.234053 0.574633 1.373995 3.127485 7.207027
2025-07-27 0.034281 0.093023 0.234786 0.591668 1.449891 3.375317 7.952620
2025-08-03 0.031875 0.089118 0.231041 0.597514 1.500304 3.571335 8.601041
2025-08-10 0.029221 0.084160 0.224062 0.594519 1.529132 3.720819 9.156754
2025-08-17 0.026574 0.078823 0.215449 0.586337 1.544304 3.839942 9.652849
2025-08-24 0.024379 0.074413 0.208658 0.581979 1.568437 3.982368 10.218267